Wednesday, October 27, 2004

Who's gonna win?
Who knows. Zogby's state polls continue to give Bush a slight lead in OH (though a high undecided number, defying common sense), and a growing lead in Florida. CBS just took a poll in Florida that was so good for Kerry they got nervous and are sitting on it.

Zogby shows Kerry with a lead, 3 days in a row, in CO. No other poll shows Bush behind there. Zogby also shows a sizable lead for Bush in NM, where others (save the Republican-biased Mason-Dixon) show it very close, or Kerry ahead. At least WI has flipped to Kerry in Zogby's tracking poll. Holding on in MN as well.

Iowa sounds tied, no matter who you ask.

Pulling out wins in Iowa, Colorado and New Mexico (21 votes combined) would offset the loss of Ohio and give Kerry a chance to win even losing both FL and OH.

Meanwhile, Zogby's national tracking poll says that the last day was one of Kerry's best - up by 5.

Nobody has a clue what's going to happen. Experiment with electoral college scenarios here. You know, with the anxiety, you're not going to get any work done before Tueday anyway.

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