There's little denying that Bush has opened up something of a national lead. But it is not translating (yet) into leads in the battleground states. The mystery pollster has some encouraging analysis.
With OH and FL starting to look like they may break for Kerry and Bush, respectively (not that I'm giving up on FL, or taking OH for granted), the battleground would shift in that case to WI, NM and IA. Kerry needs to win WI or both NM + IA if everything else goes according to schedule. I feel much better about Wisconsin than Iowa.
I just can't believe there are that many evangelicals in the cheese state. Bush will need a new strategy.