More battleground numbers
Zogby has started tracking polls in 10 important states. MyDD has the first day's results today. The bad news is it gives Bush the edge, in both Florida and Ohio, so the edge in the electoral race. But, the Ohio number especially is contradicted by lots of other polls showing Kerry running in the lead there. In fact, some have suggested Rove is giving up there.

The good news is that Bush doesn't poll 50% in a single state. As an incumbent, that's a pretty tough place to be, I hear.

Also, Kos believes he knows what the big "Monday surprise" is that is supposed to "devastate" the Kerry campaign. It's not all that big.