Margin of Error discussion
In response to conversations in comments thread, I thought I'd link to the post that informed my thoughts about margins of error in polls. It also has a handy table. Of course, I have no background, so I don't know if he's right, and would welcome further insight from any of you statistics types. I'm throwing it out there to show why I worry about a 2 or 3 point deficit in a state poll even when it's inside the MOE. Other than just the fact that I worry.