Friday, January 25, 2008

Warning for Saturday
Lest you are confident Obama will win SC easily. Hillary is surging in the last 24-48 hours in tracking polls, just like in New Hampshire. If this trend continues, in which she picks off the undecideds, and it turns out that women are voting for her in the booth in greater numbers than they are polling for her on the phone (in front of their husbands and indignant Obama supporters), Hillary will not only make it a close race, she may win. That despite a shocking 20-point lead in the latest PPP poll. Obama really screwed up the expectations game in South Carolina, if you ask me. Unhelpfully, everyone seems to think he will coast to victory there.

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