Did Church-goers Save W?
Donkey Rising has some analysis of voters. If the numbers are correct, it would seem that regular church-goers made up the same percentage of voters they did in 2000, and voted for Bush at the same rate they did then also. Not significantly higher in either case.

Bottom line: the President made gains across the board among voters, regardless of their degree of religious commitment but he made his largest gains among less religious voters.

That would be surprising, and makes me think of three things:

1. Churchgoing voters (well most of them) must not be swayed by events. Their myopic vision of moral concern trumps anything else, and has. They're not flocking to W because of security concerns or anything else. They have always been with him, ever since he said Jesus was his favorite political philosopher. He could have screwed up anything and they wouldn't care.

2. The social conservative, moral values movement that bumrushed the election (if they did) was not populated by church-goers. So who are these people? Non-church-goers who picked moral values as number one? Or did security voters turn the election, but they split their concern between "terrorism" and "Iraq" so that moral values voters end up looking like the largest bloc?

3. If the story coming out of the election is that evangelicals turned out and handed the election to Bush, and that they are the heart and soul of the Republican Party now, that may not be such a bad thing for us, even (or especially) if it turns out not to be any more true now than it was before.