Polls Are Here and There
Gallup shows Obama closing to 2 in national polling, Rasmussen has Hillary surging to 11 up. Zogby has Obama up 4 in California and close in Missouri, McClatchy has Obama close in AZ but down 9 in California. Hard to know what will happen. They are all over the place. All the early voting that has already happened in Tuesday's states will benefit Hillary. I think Obama has to do this: win big enough in GA and IL to offset delegate gains by Clinton in CA, NY and NJ. Then, find a way to win a couple of other states -- maybe from CO, AL, AZ, MO -- to cut into gains she makes in TN, MA, OK, and keep everything else close enough so the delegate gain is minimal for Hillary. If she gains less than 100 on him Tuesday, it would be a dramatic victory for him.