Wednesday, November 07, 2007

First Poll [UPDATED]
Here's the first poll in New Hampshire taken after Senator Clinton looked a little silly in the last debate. She still leads by a good bit, but the gap has closed. My reading is this - unless one of the other 2 candidates can take advantage with a genuine surge in voter confidence (a la Kerry in 2004), this dip by Hillary will be short-lived. If Obama finds a way to win in Iowa, this gap is close enough that momentum could lead to victory here as well. (Last month's poll in parenthesis.)
Clinton...34 (40)
Obama.....24 (17)
Edwards...15 (14)
Richardson 8 (11)
At the end of the day, this driver's license thing can't be the issue that propels Obama ahead, can it? He's for it, unlike 3/4 of America sadly. The chink in Hillary's armor here is one of form not substance: she just doesn't want to say whether she's for it or against it. On substance, he would have a hard time running on his outspoken support for an undocumented immigrant driver's license.

[UPDATE: And new from Iowa...(Aug. in parenthesis)
Clinton...28 (30)
Obama.....25 (19)
Edwards...21 (23)
Richardson 9 (10)]

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